I guess they could be gifted an early return to power in the same way Labour has been gifted it by the shambolic Tories? A nightmare scenario, unless you think Labour is now disciplined enough not to go all Corbynite any time soon?
It really depends on what's left of them tho right? If it's roughly a hundred odd MPs - and they've been mauled by Reform, mightn't they be dragged yet further to the right? And if that happens, and you accept 2029 is a write off - how do they deal with the 2034 voters? Those voters will have an ingrained memory of the utter chaos the Tories induced in the economy and wider society, when - and this is the punchline: in 2034 the over sixty fives, their last redoubt, that over sixty five cohort will be Gen X. And I mean... Gen X hate them with a passion ffs. I'd argue the Conservatives are structurally/demographically buggered, they'll realise it sooner or later, and they'll have to reconfigure a new party somehow. Or rather, the extremely wealthy slice of English society that likes to have its own political vehicle will demand a new, actually viable, political party be created to represent their goals and desires.
Excellent analysis. I’d also suggest that Exhibit 2 in the case of Sunak not being good at politics is his recent reply to the question of whether he was concerned about a vote of no confidence and a leadership bid against him: “I’m not interested in Westminster politics.” It suggests to me that his primary interest is the manipulation of the electorate, which is not really politics. I feel he is only a step or two away from homeopathy and crystals.
I guess they could be gifted an early return to power in the same way Labour has been gifted it by the shambolic Tories? A nightmare scenario, unless you think Labour is now disciplined enough not to go all Corbynite any time soon?
It really depends on what's left of them tho right? If it's roughly a hundred odd MPs - and they've been mauled by Reform, mightn't they be dragged yet further to the right? And if that happens, and you accept 2029 is a write off - how do they deal with the 2034 voters? Those voters will have an ingrained memory of the utter chaos the Tories induced in the economy and wider society, when - and this is the punchline: in 2034 the over sixty fives, their last redoubt, that over sixty five cohort will be Gen X. And I mean... Gen X hate them with a passion ffs. I'd argue the Conservatives are structurally/demographically buggered, they'll realise it sooner or later, and they'll have to reconfigure a new party somehow. Or rather, the extremely wealthy slice of English society that likes to have its own political vehicle will demand a new, actually viable, political party be created to represent their goals and desires.
Excellent analysis. I’d also suggest that Exhibit 2 in the case of Sunak not being good at politics is his recent reply to the question of whether he was concerned about a vote of no confidence and a leadership bid against him: “I’m not interested in Westminster politics.” It suggests to me that his primary interest is the manipulation of the electorate, which is not really politics. I feel he is only a step or two away from homeopathy and crystals.